Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $43.9K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $27.54
Polymarket Trader
MissWonderfun
0x7170c454de42dd72d11983cbdec49ac01de80534
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.16K
- Realized PnL
- $20.03K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.91K
- Potential profit
- $23.91K
- User PnL
- -$402.51
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.59K
- Potential profit
- $20.59K
- User PnL
- -$917.29
Yes position
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$2.78K
Yes position
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $331.7
- Potential payout
- $15.5K
- Potential profit
- $15.17K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$50.28
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Yes position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5K
- User PnL
- -$4.02K
Yes position
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.49K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$293.7
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $24.46
- Potential payout
- $12.23K
- Potential profit
- $12.21K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
Yes position
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.34K
- Potential profit
- $10.34K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$420
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $385
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.62K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $235
Yes position
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.82K
- Potential profit
- $8.82K
- User PnL
- -$832.2
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $505.75
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.99K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$239.22
Yes position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $144.66
- Potential payout
- $7.42K
- Potential profit
- $7.27K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $7.98
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $137.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.86K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$57.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $77.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.58K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $347.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.65K
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$87.5
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $400
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $267.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.73K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851.28
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $814.8
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $729.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $502.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.18
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.59
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.48
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $5.09
Over position
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.06
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$73.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$89.08
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$209.94
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$257.25
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$336.06
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$475
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 160,000 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20.8% 4,999.99 shares
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over 56% 1,544.82 shares
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 5,000 shares
- Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 3,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 9,999.98 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 2,500 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.7% 5,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 5,000 shares
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 10,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 46% 2,500 shares