Polymarket Trader

Torstein63

0x7173a8d70cb5d33bc586f4bd8417f65963aafc4d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $602.1
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $576.58
Potential payout: $6.78K
Potential profit: $6.21K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$503.41

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $578.63
Potential profit: $578.63
User PnL: -$19.84

Yes position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $511.05
Potential profit: $511.05
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $7.87
Potential payout: $262.28
Potential profit: $254.41
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $243.9
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.65
Potential profit: $66.65
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.77
Potential profit: $64.77
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $17.65
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $41.18
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 34% 29.41 shares
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Yes 14.3% 70 shares
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 4% 125 shares
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 30.9% 64.77 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 43% 46.51 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 41% 243.9 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

No 20% 100 shares
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Yes 3.8% 262.28 shares
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Yes 34% 58.82 shares
Trump out as President by June 30?

Yes 2.4% 416.67 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

No 15% 66.67 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 16% 3,125 shares