US-Phenom

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $7.14K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $92.86K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$1.56K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $9.55K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $60.44K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$556.78

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $5.02K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $34.98K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $835.24

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $3.02K
Potential payout: $25.7K
Potential profit: $22.68K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $526.92

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $558.07
Potential payout: $5.31K
Potential profit: $4.76K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $107.16

Yes position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
User PnL: -$347.76

Magic position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$596.75

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$238.32

Yes position

Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$25.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $729.17
Potential profit: $729.17
User PnL: -$364

Yes position

Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $541.4
Potential profit: $541.4
User PnL: -$2.16

Stars position

Stars vs. Wild

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.17
Potential profit: $536.17
User PnL: -$252

Yes position

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $459.4
Potential profit: $459.4
User PnL: -$25.48

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $457.2
Potential profit: $457.2
User PnL: -$230

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $366.67
Potential profit: $366.67
User PnL: -$180

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.94
Potential profit: $352.94
User PnL: -$180

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $321.36
Potential profit: $321.36
User PnL: -$150

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.21
Potential profit: $248.21
User PnL: -$10.37

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.85
Potential profit: $204.85
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.88
Potential profit: $186.88
User PnL: -$90

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $176.47
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.97
Potential profit: $114.97
User PnL: -$39.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.2
Potential profit: $98.2
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.44K

Pistons position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $926.02

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $637.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $617.47

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $556.2

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $523.37

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.3

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.78

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $403.49

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.56

Yes position

Will FaZe Vegas win DreamHack Major 2?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.39

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $302.95

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.72

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $239.08

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?