Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $575.27
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $881.1
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$28.52
Polymarket Trader
simaz
0x718bcf18ed0afbc760af42dfb5839deb76e253d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $576.58
- Realized PnL
- -$398.85
- Win rate
- 52.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $526.13
- Potential profit
- $524.82
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $58.57
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $29.86
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- $17.82
Yes position
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $15.54
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.46
$60k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.12
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96.25
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$382.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 27.5% 519.99 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 3.8% 1,063.85 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 11% 400 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 21.3% 12.76 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 24.2% 35.09 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes 37% 550 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 89% 75 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Yes 22% 48 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 60% 320 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026?Yes 88% 64 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$60k 60% 20.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETDown 48% 48.44 shares