Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $16.51
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $3.05
Polymarket Trader
0x7192...87fa
0x71923b4341e127e2c3b89a0bfe8dcab02ae087fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $113.46
- Realized PnL
- $156.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $5.87
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $7.63
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $12.25
- Potential profit
- $9.31
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $6.54
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $11.66
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $11.37
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $10.4
- Potential profit
- $5.77
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.65
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $9.21
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5.72
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $8.87
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $8.8
- Potential profit
- $4.27
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $8.75
- Potential profit
- $7.09
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.91
- Potential payout
- $8.46
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $7.83
- Potential payout
- $8.46
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $7.64
- Potential payout
- $8.26
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $7.87
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Y
Yes position
Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $6.27
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.58
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.58
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Up position
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?Yes 33% 7 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 65.6% 7.55 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No 63% 7.87 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Yes 56% 8.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.9% 6.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 26.9% 6.02 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?No 34.7% 9.97 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 74% 2.72 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?No 55% 9.07 shares