Polymarket Trader

ahdpe

@PolyMrktWhales

0x719c93091872b43244b9c5aa792d9e6430ef8839

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.59K
Realized PnL: $142.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $159.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $193.65

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $123.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $476.1
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$176.1

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $476.1
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $123.9
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $176.1

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $181
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $43.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.3
Potential profit: $6.3
User PnL: -$0.63

Alabama position

Alabama vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Arman Tsarukyan win against Shara Magomedov?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.35

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.84

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.74

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.8%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

No position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Ole Miss position

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 84% 50 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 14.9% 40 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 70.7% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 89% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 87% 10 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

Yes 91.1% 5 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

Yes 95% 5 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 28.2% 3.7 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 87% 5 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 88% 5 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 93% 5 shares