Polymarket Trader

simmyy

0x71a61314f24b71f51290e0f2a6c43054610a6fa0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $798.59
Realized PnL: $1.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $505.64
Potential payout: $865.09
Potential profit: $359.44
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $205.64

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $8.47
Potential payout: $736.46
Potential profit: $727.99
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$91.53

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $179.15
Potential payout: $243.74
Potential profit: $64.59
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $87.84
Potential payout: $88.82
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $30.64

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $88.04
Potential profit: $87.82
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$24.43

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $6.02
Potential payout: $57.36
Potential profit: $51.33
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$3.73

Yes position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $50.57
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$7.47

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.98
Potential profit: $9.98
User PnL: -$6.49

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.23
Potential profit: $8.23
User PnL: -$2.47

No position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$2.93

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.44
Potential profit: $7.44
User PnL: -$1.42

No position

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.65
Potential profit: $6.65
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.11
Potential profit: $6.11
User PnL: -$0.73

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.83
Potential profit: $5.83
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5.18
Potential profit: $5.16
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.65

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.6

Celtics position

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.45

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.45

Cubs position

Cubs vs. Angels

Ends Aug 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.51

Bills position

Bills vs. Patriots

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.13

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.27

Yes position

Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-24?

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.65

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.6

Yes position

Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.33

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.4

No position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.2

Yes position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.33

Packers position

Commanders vs. Packers

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.86

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.39

Yes position

Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.79

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.65

Texans position

Texans vs. Chargers

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.83

100 Thieves position

League of Legends: Team Liquid vs. 100 Thieves

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.9

49ers position

49ers vs. Colts

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.61

No change position

'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.53

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 71% 243.74 shares
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June?

No 76.7% 5 shares
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026

No 54.6% 5 shares
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June?

Yes 1.2% 5 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?

Yes 7% 5 shares
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Yes 60.4% 5 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Yes 10% 5 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?

No 48% 5 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?

No 68% 5 shares
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 36% 5 shares
Will Solana dip to $70 June 1-7?

No 6.1% 5 shares
Will Solana dip to $70 June 1-7?

No 9.2% 5 shares