Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $346.5
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $73.5
Polymarket Trader
sxfdgbg
0x71af849368c955f1bb29d3e9a695e37fff928f2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $572.88
- Realized PnL
- $169.9
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $226.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $23.63
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$8.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 73% 400 shares
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 78% 400 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 93.8% 250 shares
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 71% 400 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 49.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 55% 162.08 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 58% 1,000 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 77% 156.95 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 66% 1,000 shares
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 59% 490 shares
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 58% 470 shares