No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $3.93K
- Potential payout
- $7.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Polymarket Trader
0x71db...0fa8
0x71db811b4558d66fc3c05f220bf0aaeb15500fa8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $6.04K
- Realized PnL
- $435.9
- Win rate
- 31.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $483.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $886.92
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.99
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.43
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.9
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 18 be greater than 2,100,000?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 be greater than 2,300,000?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.49
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 21 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.02
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.74
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.07
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$136.97
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$190.47
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$233.33
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$263.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 47.9% 150.91 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 46% 5 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 43% 28.5 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 42% 10 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 45% 87.65 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 45% 87 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 43% 6.55 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 44% 11.36 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 43% 75 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 44% 103.5 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 45% 12 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 42% 9 shares