No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $287.44
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $172.47
Polymarket Trader
GoldmanSachs
0x71dd2d539a793687451d4af8c43169369b47d61c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.31K
- Realized PnL
- $91.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $315
- Potential profit
- $312.01
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $183.45
- Potential payout
- $202.7
- Potential profit
- $19.26
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $33.45
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $60.49
- Potential payout
- $149.36
- Potential profit
- $88.87
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$14.51
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $89.55
- Potential profit
- $85.12
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $22.76
- Potential payout
- $64.1
- Potential profit
- $41.35
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
No position
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $26.6
- Potential payout
- $46.27
- Potential profit
- $19.66
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.93K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987.44
No position
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $903.92
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900.74
Yes position
Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $884.12
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $821.75
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.79
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $803.78
No position
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.6
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union have less than 35M viewers?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.44
No position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $703.51
No position
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $685.72
No position
Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $628.3
Yes position
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.23
Yes position
Will Trump say "Green new scam" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.86
Yes position
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.39
Yes position
Canada election called before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.35
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 149.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 74% 202.7 shares
- Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?Yes 39% 64.1 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.3% 9,243.38 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No 94.2% 530.88 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes 40% 250 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes 42% 119.05 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?No 30.3% 100 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?No 35% 92 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 80% 424.55 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 80% 1,875 shares
- Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in April?Yes 9% 55.56 shares