Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $9.45K
- Potential payout
- $18K
- Potential profit
- $8.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$50.56
Polymarket Trader
0x71e1...45f0
0x71e11e0fc20a2adf27026fbf8674b38f8ff945f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $36.89K
- Realized PnL
- $299.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.59K
- Potential profit
- $13.59K
- User PnL
- -$1.98K
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.13K
- Potential profit
- $11.13K
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $8.94K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $58.5
- User PnL
- $526.51
Michigan State Spartans position
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.97K
- Potential profit
- $8.97K
- User PnL
- -$3.86K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $8.84K
- Potential payout
- $8.85K
- Potential profit
- $13.28
- User PnL
- $6.43K
Louisville Cardinals position
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.1K
- Potential profit
- $8.1K
- User PnL
- -$2.75K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $6.79K
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $414
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $450
No position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.27K
- Potential profit
- $6.27K
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $6.19K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$959.21
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.58K
- Potential profit
- $5.58K
- User PnL
- -$652.93
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Magic
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- User PnL
- -$2.86K
Tennessee Volunteers position
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- User PnL
- -$68.27
Grizzlies position
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- User PnL
- -$593.99
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $221.98
- Potential payout
- $5.35K
- Potential profit
- $5.13K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$540.71
No position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.85K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- User PnL
- -$1.69K
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $766.87
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.74K
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$452.4
TCU Horned Frogs position
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$585
Team Vitality position
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- User PnL
- -$170.66
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.18K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- User PnL
- -$42.34
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.97K
- Potential profit
- $3.97K
- User PnL
- -$1.96K
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Magic
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$104.72
Yes position
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.67K
- User PnL
- -$128.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.46K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.48K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.13K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.56K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.53K
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4K
Connecticut Huskies position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25K
Auburn Tigers position
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.33K
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.55K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31K
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07K
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22K
Michigan Wolverines position
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75K
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.59K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37K
Michigan Wolverines position
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35K
Texas Longhorns position
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78K
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.73K
Nebraska Cornhuskers position
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?No 49% 50 shares
- Czechia to score first vs. Korea Republic?Yes 24% 34 shares
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?Yes 14% 41 shares
- Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?Yes 23% 11 shares
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa?No 99.9% 942.42 shares
- Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa?No 99.6% 150 shares
- Will Mexico finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 98.8% 26.77 shares