No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Polymarket Trader
0x71E49E638D2f889933190ecd2F732F2dA898f75C-1769146676757
0x71e49e638d2f889933190ecd2f732f2da898f75c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04
- Realized PnL
- -$42.8
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.81
No position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.84
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$18.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?No 4.1% 726.1 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?No 89% 3.37 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 88% 11.36 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 10% 36.94 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes 90% 5.55 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes 2.9% 25 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 60% 4.76 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 40% 18.19 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No 59% 20 shares
- Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes 98.2% 14.49 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No 4.7% 12.5 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 16% 31.25 shares