Polymarket Trader

ChironCrossing

0x71e5ffadf2b25997d05874d954a2b74485c2d10b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $108.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.55K
Potential profit: $52.55K
User PnL: -$52.55

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.13K
Potential profit: $52.13K
User PnL: -$6.6K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$5.8K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?

Ends Aug 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.27K
Potential profit: $17.27K
User PnL: -$2.06K

Yes position

Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.21K
Potential profit: $17.21K
User PnL: -$17.21

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$3.96K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo drop out first?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.55K
Potential profit: $11.55K
User PnL: -$213.86

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.6K
Potential profit: $10.6K
User PnL: -$4.83K

No position

Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42K
Potential profit: $10.42K
User PnL: -$4.5K

No position

Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$1.6K

Yes position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$3.29K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.73K
Potential profit: $5.73K
User PnL: -$343.66

No position

OpenAI social app in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.14K
Potential profit: $5.14K
User PnL: -$2.24K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$31.17

Yes position

OpenAI browser in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.24K
User PnL: -$603.77

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.16K
User PnL: -$455.45

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.16K

No position

OpenAI browser in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$227.7

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$4.08

130k position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$599.99

Yes position

Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $762.53
Potential profit: $762.53
User PnL: -$155.21

Yes position

Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $742.54
Potential profit: $742.54
User PnL: -$279.82

No position

Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$275.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.88K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.24K

Yes position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72K

Yes position

Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91K

No position

Will Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26K

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12K

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83K

Yes position

2025 September second hottest on record?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46K

No position

Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

No position

Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18K

No position

Will Han Duck-soo register for presidential run?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

No position

Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87K

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

Yes position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71K

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4K

Yes position

U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.29K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

No position

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

No position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.65K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 1.6% 6,041.58 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 1% 30,958.42 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 8% 37,000 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 75% 7,697.22 shares
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

No 96.8% 11.66 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 60.7% 8,759.16 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 59% 0.07 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Yes 33% 12,000 shares
US government shutdown by October 1?

No 25% 7,430.74 shares
US government shutdown by October 1?

No 18% 7,871.2 shares
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 0.1% 120,380.5 shares
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 0.2% 20,068.64 shares