Polymarket Trader

d1k21

0x71ed0bc95433cdf1be29f43219725fce9addd9eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $66.01K
Realized PnL: $1.25M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $11.93K
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $53.07K
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$20.57K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.7%
Current value: $53.07K
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $11.93K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $20.57K

Yes position

Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$35.93

Yes position

Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$35.93

Yes position

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

Yes position

Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35.43

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699
Potential profit: $699
User PnL: -$77.67

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699
Potential profit: $699
User PnL: -$77.67

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699
Potential profit: $699
User PnL: -$77.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $308.58K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.99K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $180.6K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.61K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.82K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.06K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.15K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.88K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.88K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.74K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8K

No position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.43K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 July meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.33K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.54K

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.47K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.11K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.67K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.58K

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.94K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16K

No position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.91K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.65K

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 21.4% 1,004.16 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 77% 1,000 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 16.5% 800 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 90.7% 500 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Yes 0.5% 2.18 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 10,010 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 4,504.5 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 91% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 88% 8,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 81% 938.04 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 81% 1,999.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 83.3% 10,000 shares