No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $642.55
- Potential payout
- $710
- Potential profit
- $67.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $135.85
Polymarket Trader
SACKD
0x71f32c8d82933813f42b7729774409f3ddc328d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.58K
- Realized PnL
- $2.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $311
- Potential profit
- $311
- User PnL
- -$191.52
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $243.86
- Potential payout
- $285.22
- Potential profit
- $41.36
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $85.17
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $122.82
- Potential payout
- $276
- Potential profit
- $153.18
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$51.68
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $182
- Potential payout
- $208
- Potential profit
- $26
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $32.68
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $152.25
- Potential payout
- $174
- Potential profit
- $21.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $31.93
No position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $124.08
- Potential payout
- $145.12
- Potential profit
- $21.04
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $30.05
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $112.45
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $17.55
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $13.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.26
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.49
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.63
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.38
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.89
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.49
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.78
No position
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.59
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.96
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.73
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $77.73
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.9
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.6
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.14
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.09
No position
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.24
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.52
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.68
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.85
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 66% 80 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 68% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.8% 39.21 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No 93% 51 shares
- Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?No 89% 54 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No 69% 49 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 50% 40.79 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No 75% 190 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 71% 192.77 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No 26% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No 36% 54.44 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 63% 18 shares