Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $36.17
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Polymarket Trader
Calster22
0x720152ee23218d742832a08ac418be81b94fcd15
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.39
- Realized PnL
- $3.13
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $14.42
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Immigrant" during his victory/concession speech?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Bus" during his victory/concession speech?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 40% 2.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp 35% 2.72 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?Yes 97% 5.15 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Immigrant" during his victory/concession speech?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani say "Bus" during his victory/concession speech?Yes 73% 1.37 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 91% 5.49 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 83% 2.41 shares
- Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?Yes 29.9% 3.34 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes 89% 1.12 shares
- Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No 54% 6.45 shares