No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $9.54K
- Potential payout
- $10.05K
- Potential profit
- $507.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Polymarket Trader
ilovetradingsomuch
0x7207afc03a8c134f831ba13e12c790b46a0fe423
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.85K
- Realized PnL
- $2.78K
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $306.51
- Potential payout
- $6.07K
- Potential profit
- $5.76K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$647.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.63
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $875
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.14
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.09
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$416
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$739.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 21.6% 4.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 21.8% 4.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 21.6% 4.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 21.8% 4.59 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 34% 2.77 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 36% 2.78 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 76% 1.3 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 77% 1.3 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 9.3% 21.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 15.7% 6,352.49 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 93% 1.06 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 94% 1.06 shares