Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $678.55
- Potential payout
- $11.03K
- Potential profit
- $10.35K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$60.67
Polymarket Trader
Rafael88
0x720bd69011aa5a9ef7846e88648218a7b33d37f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.73K
- Realized PnL
- $6.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $459.87
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$37.72
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $426.65
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$229.33
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $522.83
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $577.86
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$115.57
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $498.21
- Potential payout
- $575.97
- Potential profit
- $77.76
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $163.72
- Potential payout
- $180.91
- Potential profit
- $17.19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $11.79
- Potential payout
- $83.36
- Potential profit
- $71.57
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $32.56
- Potential payout
- $38.53
- Potential profit
- $5.97
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $30.17
- Potential payout
- $33.34
- Potential profit
- $3.17
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $27.54
- Potential payout
- $28.61
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $22.77
- Potential payout
- $24.03
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $17.44
- Potential payout
- $19.27
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $9.02
- Potential payout
- $11.14
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $986.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.59
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.19
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.69
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.46
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $266.77
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.45
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.32
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $186.35
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.49
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $176.2
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.55
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.06
Yes position
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $142.69
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.93
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.6
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.53
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $118.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.02
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.11
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.8% 5.93 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 11,033.28 shares
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States 83.5% 764.58 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.6% 10,007.94 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.9% 196.48 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 167.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 58% 1,100.69 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 99% 644.82 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 87% 558.44 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97% 503.01 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 86% 86.38 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 13% 582.62 shares