Polymarket Trader

alean

@Alean76973086

0x72163233f9a8adc4b54e115c40febeee1d46cb34

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $433.55
Realized PnL: $2.35K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $371.63
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $18.14

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.09K
User PnL: -$584.36

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $6.58
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

Trump out as President by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$44.96

Yes position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$473.07

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$254.67

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$259.65

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.17
Potential profit: $769.17
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be less than 60 minutes long?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $514.29
Potential profit: $514.29
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484.26
Potential profit: $484.26
User PnL: -$69.02

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480.97
Potential profit: $480.97
User PnL: -$98.89

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.93
Potential profit: $441.93
User PnL: -$162.09

Yes position

Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $432.17
Potential profit: $432.17
User PnL: -$11.34

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.62
Potential profit: $414.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $44.89
Potential payout: $390.33
Potential profit: $345.44
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$5.11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.97
Potential profit: $309.97
User PnL: -$13.33

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.17
Potential profit: $263.17
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.15
Potential profit: $223.15
User PnL: -$22.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $776.49

Yes position

Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $504.03

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.11

Yes position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.42

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.97

Yes position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.25

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.19

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.68

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.56

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.82

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.22

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.62

No position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.16

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.4%
Multiplier: 4.68x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1% 1,100 shares
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 DR Congo?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 DR Congo?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 68% 132.35 shares
Trump out as President by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Yes 10% 500 shares
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 41% 121.95 shares
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?

Yes 12.8% 390.33 shares