Polymarket Trader

34gh

@mzWang8

0x7234d59a260421e9eb2c8ced9d6ac64078ec4c92

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $84.4
Realized PnL: $1.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$114.5

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.12
Potential profit: $96.12
User PnL: -$10.57

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$2.38

No position

Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $71.16
Potential profit: $67.21
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$23.8

No position

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $56.7
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$19.5

No position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $7.58
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $32.42
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $37.4
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$21.6

Yes position

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $30.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $9.4
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $12.4

No position

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$10.8

No position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.52
Potential profit: $30.52
User PnL: -$0.81

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $11.25
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.1
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Burt Jones finish first in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.6

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $8.41
Multiplier: 4.78x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Uruguay be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $3.94
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$1.94

No position

Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Pistons

Ends Nov 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.98

Cavaliers position

Pelicans vs. Cavaliers

Ends Nov 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.39

No position

Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.95

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $59.55

Team WE position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.3

Yes position

Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.56

Yes position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 3?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.63

No position

Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.4

Down position

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.5

No position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.89

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.99

Yes position

Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.04

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.85

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $21.5

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.55

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 95.1% 50 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

No 95.2% 100 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 71% 150 shares
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

No 97.2% 300 shares
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Yes 85% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

No 81% 99.98 shares
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Yes 26% 30 shares
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

No 25% 50 shares
North Korea missile test/launch by April 15?

No 44% 20 shares
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?

No 37% 40 shares
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?

Yes 66% 20 shares
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?

Yes 38.9% 42.78 shares