Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.4%
- Current value
- $83.18
- Potential payout
- $508.75
- Potential profit
- $425.57
- Multiplier
- 6.12x
- User PnL
- $43.18
Polymarket Trader
0x723d3f6b5e2Cc46B2910AB7Ba982b18f971690c4-1772196046497
0x723d3f6b5e2cc46b2910ab7ba982b18f971690c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $155.17
- Realized PnL
- $486.59
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $244.38
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$14.38
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Yes position
Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $17.39
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $53.6
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$15.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $47.69
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$12.7
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $14.87
- Potential payout
- $34.99
- Potential profit
- $20.12
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Yes position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $28.17
- Potential profit
- $25.07
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$6.7
Yes position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $22.28
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$14.99
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $17.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $7.88
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.17
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.96
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.11
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.02
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.24
Yes position
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Puerto Rico position
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Canada
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.6
No position
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.26
No position
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.3
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.46
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.88
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.3
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 47 shares
- Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes 0.9% 144.48 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 7.9% 508.75 shares
- Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes 8% 138.96 shares
- Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?Yes 11% 230 shares
- Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 2.5% 25 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 18% 60 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 2.5% 200 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.1% 200 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Yes 8% 250 shares
- Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 44% 9 shares