No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $495
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $39
Polymarket Trader
mk83
@83mhog
0x724329314b7c741301fc42498774a4c705d28409
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.21K
- Realized PnL
- $2.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $481.24
- Potential payout
- $590.55
- Potential profit
- $109.31
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $52.1
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $228.8
- Potential payout
- $391.11
- Potential profit
- $162.31
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $8.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $810.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214
No position
Will the US lose jobs in May?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.27
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.5
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.2
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.64
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.26
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.86
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.5
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.88
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.07
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.49
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.87
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.92
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.82
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.18x
- User PnL
- $42.46
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.54
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 62% 134 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 59% 10 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 58% 10 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 53% 237.11 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 74% 13.64 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 73% 200 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 72% 293.05 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 76% 600 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 37% 48.07 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 38% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 40% 245 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 41% 473.31 shares