Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $91.44
- Potential payout
- $10.76K
- Potential profit
- $10.67K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$58.55
Polymarket Trader
ogabrielp
0x72576b53ea1f36c8eef2f9218be344ab4cf9437c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.44
- Realized PnL
- $44.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $600.01
- User PnL
- -$10.2
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.17
- Potential profit
- $84.17
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.1
- Potential profit
- $64.1
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $46.51
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.69
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- $6.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 35.6% 84.17 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.4% 10,758.12 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 33.2% 100 shares
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 4.3% 46.51 shares
- Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?Yes 17% 58.82 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 7.8% 64.1 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?No 1.3% 33.07 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?No 1.6% 250 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?No 1.3% 283.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown 84% 51.68 shares