No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178K
- Potential profit
- $178K
- User PnL
- -$712
Polymarket Trader
NagashBeatz
0x725a4233da8fb762c1ad2ff73a241b21f2dd5caf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.75
- Realized PnL
- $1.47K
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$550
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $4.58K
- User PnL
- -$930
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$27
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$534.59
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $29.25
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $620.75
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$74.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $106.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $193.5
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $22.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.17
- Potential profit
- $224.17
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $715.19
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.32
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $187.59
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.45
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 41.7% 2,564.04 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 16% 1,000 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 13.5% 700 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 12% 10 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 10% 90.33 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 8% 69.92 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 16% 650 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 332.61 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 1.4% 3,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 38% 200 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 16.1% 500 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No 27% 247.17 shares