Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $3.09K
- Potential payout
- $7.45K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$438.35
Polymarket Trader
Crabinn
0x725b3969c1b5d8bbfa09877e02f56593ad27f2e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.09K
- Realized PnL
- $3.03K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.43
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.43
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.01
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.32
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 47.6% 6,365.19 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 80.3% 294.11 shares
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 3.7% 500 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 19% 425.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 14?No 92% 112.55 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 79% 1,259.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?No 84.2% 118.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 14?No 88.8% 112.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?Yes 19.6% 217.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 14?Yes 28.8% 228.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 14?Yes 43.7% 228.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?Yes 46% 217.54 shares