No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $53.84
- Potential payout
- $598.23
- Potential profit
- $544.39
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$36.16
Polymarket Trader
gorgorbil
0x72801a93b54ef2a720c0147598c357a02b3c0838
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $695.95
- Realized PnL
- $1.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $66.94
- Potential payout
- $405.71
- Potential profit
- $338.77
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $6.94
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $50.63
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $324.38
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $52.88
- Potential payout
- $306.75
- Potential profit
- $253.87
- Multiplier
- 5.80x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.67
- Potential profit
- $288.67
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $90.76
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $172.39
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$9.24
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $198.85
- Potential payout
- $241.03
- Potential profit
- $42.18
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $28.85
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $112.37
- Potential payout
- $231.69
- Potential profit
- $119.32
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $56.05
- Potential payout
- $207.59
- Potential profit
- $151.54
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$13.95
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.21
- Potential profit
- $170.21
- User PnL
- -$80
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.81
- Potential profit
- $139.81
- User PnL
- -$80
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.38
- Potential profit
- $131.38
- User PnL
- -$26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.39
- Potential profit
- $121.39
- User PnL
- -$40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.2
- Potential profit
- $120.2
- User PnL
- -$20
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $13.63
- Potential payout
- $118.5
- Potential profit
- $104.87
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$6.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.39
- Potential profit
- $112.39
- User PnL
- -$45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.2
- Potential profit
- $108.2
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.12
- Potential profit
- $86.12
- User PnL
- -$35.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.38
- Potential profit
- $85.38
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.07
- Potential profit
- $56.07
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.54
- Potential profit
- $46.54
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.4
- Potential profit
- $46.4
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $552.78
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $102.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.15
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.73
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $9.33
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.69x
- User PnL
- $9.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp 43% 23.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp 42% 23.81 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 16% 375 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 15% 598.22 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77% 263.55 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 47.5% 231.69 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 73.2% 136.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp 97% 157.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp 85% 11.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp 85% 11.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp 72% 13.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp 72% 13.89 shares