No position
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $19.64
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Polymarket Trader
Adelesa43
0x7287762d32bb31e1d117faf90067726879df5b74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.61
- Realized PnL
- $15.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 9m?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 44 million views on day 2?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in February?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Bernie's appearance at the Fighting Oligarchy rally not air?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 83 and 84 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?No 99.8% 20 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?No 99.8% 20 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 98.9% 20 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 17?Yes 99.9% 20 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?No 99% 16 shares
- Will Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?Yes 99.9% 17 shares
- Will Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?Yes 97% 17 shares
- Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?Yes 99.9% 18 shares
- Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?Yes 97% 18 shares
- Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?No 99% 19 shares