Yes position
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $148.72
- Potential payout
- $12.93K
- Potential profit
- $12.78K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$4.72K
Polymarket Trader
Kurdhish-Hewal
0x72897c5d022d65a8bd5c24799e365ddaa69fe306
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $188.88
- Realized PnL
- -$364.69
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $19.38
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$338.55
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$301.83
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$366.44
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $105.15
- Potential profit
- $95.53
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $7.32
- Potential payout
- $73.24
- Potential profit
- $65.91
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.68
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$28.25
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $946.15
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.42
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.07
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Yes position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.69
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.94
Yes position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.16
Yes position
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.97
Yes position
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$82.73
Yes position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.81
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$105.28
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$396.59
Yes position
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$602.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.1% 2,567.88 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes 4.5% 50 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.2% 2,567.88 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes 3.2% 426.26 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 27% 134.85 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 0.8% 1,517.3 shares
- US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes 0.6% 1,689.43 shares
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?Yes 31% 20 shares
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?Yes 22% 20 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Yes 17% 22 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Yes 17.1% 11.14 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 0.1% 11,880 shares