No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $5.51K
- Potential payout
- $6.3K
- Potential profit
- $787.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Polymarket Trader
0x729a63A1616691767fe6f1d5197877751674C966-1740339715138
0x729a63a1616691767fe6f1d5197877751674c966
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.06K
- Realized PnL
- $21.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.54K
- Potential profit
- $4.54K
- User PnL
- -$2.85K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $229.01
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $472.79
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 5.08x
- User PnL
- $35.62
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- User PnL
- -$2.24K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- $272.91
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $171
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $146.33
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $929.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $70.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $747.99
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $52
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $106
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $88.78
- Potential payout
- $799.83
- Potential profit
- $711.05
- Multiplier
- 9.01x
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $675.58
- Potential payout
- $680
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- User PnL
- $53.38
No position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $589.8
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $89.8
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $497
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- $104
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $399.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $81.4
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$202
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $326.7
- Potential payout
- $345.71
- Potential profit
- $19.01
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $106.99
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $172.97
- Potential payout
- $329.46
- Potential profit
- $156.5
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$20.12
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $283.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $16.05
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $29.95
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $289.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $10.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $70.95
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $75.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $124.5
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$38.5
No position
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $191.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $55.4
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $11.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71K
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $942.45
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825.08
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $781.8
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.48
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.69
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.84
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.67
Yes position
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.72
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.37
Simion position
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.32
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.34
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.6
No position
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 2.4% 400 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 1.2% 1,617.94 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 1.4% 2,065.96 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No 99.8% 800 shares
- Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes 46% 588 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No 99.9% 5,914.65 shares
- TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes 25% 200 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No 3.3% 399.99 shares
- Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes 14% 200 shares
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?Yes 76% 518.08 shares
- Israel military action against Iran by Friday?No 0.2% 679.11 shares
- Israel military action against Iran by Friday?No 0.7% 120.89 shares