Polymarket Trader

codexxxx

0x72a15809a05eee8723a76bf7ec82c044b3a5c5e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.94
Realized PnL: $28.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $10.15
Potential profit: $7.36
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $8.56
Potential profit: $6.07
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $3.55
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $4.82
Potential profit: $4.41
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.2%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $3.9
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $3.5
Potential profit: $3.15
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$1.26

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $3.19
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $3.17
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.47
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1.22

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.14
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.04

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.8

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.27

No position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.4

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

No 92.9% 1.08 shares
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

No 97.1% 1.03 shares
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Yes 94% 1.06 shares
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

No 90% 1.11 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 92% 1.09 shares
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

No 94.8% 1.05 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 84% 1.19 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

No 95% 1.05 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 49% 2.04 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 98.4% 1.33 shares

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