Yes position
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $19.73
- Potential payout
- $7.89K
- Potential profit
- $7.87K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.26
Polymarket Trader
0x72aa...777f
0x72aad5d3fcd921a6f8f0474fafbc43d536c9777f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $564.23
- Realized PnL
- -$43.49
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $28.26
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $6.25K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Yes position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $14.22
- Potential payout
- $4.06K
- Potential profit
- $4.05K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Yes position
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $8.35
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $7.18
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $260.84
- Potential profit
- $259.93
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $176.74
- Potential payout
- $178.89
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.4%
- Current value
- $81.46
- Potential payout
- $98.92
- Potential profit
- $17.46
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $8.26
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $52.78
- Potential payout
- $70.84
- Potential profit
- $18.06
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $8.15
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $70.24
- Potential profit
- $68.62
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$10.32
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $32.88
- Potential payout
- $33.17
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $31.92
- Potential payout
- $32.64
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $27.71
- Potential payout
- $30.62
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $10.47
- Potential payout
- $29.5
- Potential profit
- $19.03
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $26.41
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $10.42
- Potential payout
- $12.56
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $12.01
- Potential payout
- $12.07
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $10.18
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.93
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.51
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.74
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.5% 1,592 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.5% 400.25 shares
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 1,945.29 shares
- Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.5% 100.82 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 57.3 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.5% 10.59 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 7.21 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 124 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 61% 1.95 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 61% 0.61 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.8% 995 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 62% 0.02 shares