Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.71
- Potential profit
- $320.71
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Polymarket Trader
spectrumza
0x72b8cd15f92f938c14debf75def3958cb84ec61f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.77
- Realized PnL
- $64.2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.84
- Potential profit
- $303.84
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $31.68
- Potential payout
- $191.99
- Potential profit
- $160.31
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $7.68
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.04
- Potential profit
- $108.04
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.21
- Potential profit
- $86.21
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.67
- Potential profit
- $79.67
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.62
- Potential profit
- $60.62
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the announcement on Thursday?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.58
- Potential profit
- $52.58
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.33
- Potential profit
- $49.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.2
- Potential profit
- $31.2
- User PnL
- -$9.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.25
- Potential profit
- $24.25
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.9
- Potential profit
- $22.9
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.8
- Potential profit
- $18.8
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $17.4
- Potential profit
- $7.31
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $5.09
No position
Will John Stones be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.85
- Potential profit
- $14.85
- User PnL
- -$4.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nicki" or "Nikki" or "Rapper" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$5.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "Best" 5+ times during 2pm signing?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during the announcement on Thursday?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.57
- Potential profit
- $10.57
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.38
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.92
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.16
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Kaja Kallas in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" 7+ times during the announcement on Thursday?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.69
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.66
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 53.2% 18.8 shares
- Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 28.7% 17.4 shares
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 77.3% 17.74 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes 50% 6 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes 26% 7.69 shares
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes 39% 12.82 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 62.4% 16.66 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.4% 24.93 shares
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 27% 17.74 shares
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 12% 24.25 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.5% 24.93 shares