No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $965.82K
- Potential profit
- $965.82K
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Polymarket Trader
CondeDeBelloch
0x72bbbbaaf12a529e0afed34ae77dac30f89eef39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $349.55
- Realized PnL
- $71.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $179.25
- Potential payout
- $377.36
- Potential profit
- $198.11
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$20.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $234.04
- Potential profit
- $234.04
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $98.41
- Potential payout
- $165.4
- Potential profit
- $66.99
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$12.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $92.59
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $17.08
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $24.58
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $28.99
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $23.53
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.22
- Potential profit
- $15.22
- User PnL
- -$10.2
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $10.33
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $10.11
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $2.61
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.81
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 429,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 6,000 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 5.55 shares
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 98.9% 2.12 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 94.7% 5.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 12,500 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 86% 7.93 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 94.1% 5.49 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 6.02 shares
- Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No 83% 8.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 107,500 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 97.5% 10.4 shares