Volku

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $412
Potential payout: $103K
Potential profit: $102.59K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.13K

Yes position

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $33.33K
Potential profit: $33.08K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $7.43

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $43.47
Potential payout: $21.74K
Potential profit: $21.69K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$605.36

Yes position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $15.06K
Potential profit: $13.93K
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$355.18

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.76K
Potential profit: $14.76K
User PnL: -$49.16

Yes position

XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $32.45
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $9.24K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$42.2

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.54K
Potential profit: $6.54K
User PnL: -$128.96

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.53K
Potential profit: $6.53K
User PnL: -$29.8

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $120.03
Potential payout: $5.86K
Potential profit: $5.73K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$97.29

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $60.24
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$179.74

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $13.25
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $4.4K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$222.54

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$89.35

Yes position

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $3.65K
User PnL: -$75.65

Yes position

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $21.11
Potential payout: $3.52K
Potential profit: $3.5K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$139.22

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $40.52
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.2K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$52.02

Yes position

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $23.52
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.11K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $15.08
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$93.37

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.9K
User PnL: -$25.2

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $15.43
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $2.79K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$72.53

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $27.36
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: -$6.52

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7.53
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$98.99

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$91.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.41

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.63

No position

Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.82

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $9

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.60 in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.20 in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?