Polymarket Trader

Kahvillthe1st

@kahvillthe1st

0x72befc3332f1fbb9119b8674cbe2de6f204267b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $86.47
Realized PnL: $693.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$15.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $130.68
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$1.95

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $82
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $18
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.74
Potential profit: $98.74
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.85
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.35

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.5

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.47

Yes position

Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.75

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.81

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 100 shares
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 41% 10 shares
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 20 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 80% 100 shares
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 42% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 100 shares
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?

Yes 38% 20 shares
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 24.6% 9.99 shares
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 15% 9.99 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Yes 6% 10 shares