Polymarket Trader

Nicolay1

0x72bf64f41ce498cb3b18c8db1ed8b4f6644432e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.55
Realized PnL: -$0.31
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $183.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $181.58
Potential profit: $181.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.31
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $89.77
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $87.42
Potential profit: $87.38
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $57.41
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $40.93
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $25.67
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $1.9

Aryna Sabalenka position

Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $7.2
Potential profit: $6.14
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.65
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $6.12
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $4.7
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.81

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

Grigor Dimitrov position

Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Up position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Madison Keys position

Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 18.6% 2.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 226.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 18.6% 6.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 13.9% 12.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 18% 5.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 19% 5.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 16% 5.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 20% 5 shares