Polymarket Trader

QuantQuark887

0x72c3112c460638aae715d4f181e4bddb817262e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.77K
Realized PnL: $486.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $31.09
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $12.93

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $25.44
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $7.28

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $17.52
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $29.57
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$13.32

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $15.95
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$6.72

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $17.05
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.05
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $26.95
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $497.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $2.25
User PnL: $0.66

Hawks position

Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.38
Potential profit: $209.38
User PnL: -$98.41

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.2
Potential profit: $193.2
User PnL: -$98.53

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.25
Potential profit: $124.25
User PnL: -$99.4

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.72
Potential profit: $114.72
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $12.86
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $87.19
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $11.19

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $100.04
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $99.89
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $99.39
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $18.46
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $81.58
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $16.79

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $99.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $99.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $99.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $99.59
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $88.29
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $10.09

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.04
Potential profit: $99.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.15

Suns position

Warriors vs. Suns

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.17

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.59

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.01

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.28

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.73

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Celtics position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $6

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.4% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.5% 1,037 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.5% 600 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 98.8% 1,270 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 90.7% 253.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 91.6% 945.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 96.9% 218.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 98.1% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 99.3% 739 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 99% 1,100 shares
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5

Over 63% 40 shares
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?

Yes 12% 10 shares