No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $80.55
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $200.43
Polymarket Trader
0x72c3b18edE14d9f4588b09D746C8fC1413391719-1760216705834
0x72c3b18ede14d9f4588b09d746c8fc1413391719
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.55K
- Realized PnL
- -$82.45
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $221.14
- Potential payout
- $264.83
- Potential profit
- $43.7
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.75
No position
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Up position
XRP Up or Down - December 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$122.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes 83% 8.43 shares
- Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes 84% 247.17 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 91% 224.71 shares
- Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes 84.7% 1.18 shares
- Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes 81% 8.05 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.1% 88.87 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 91.1% 86 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 90.4% 2.71 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 88% 1,627.73 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.8% 4.37 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 89% 224.72 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92% 333.9 shares