Polymarket Trader

2464563srgegerg

0x72d8de901d81827a1fce5174a156b55184d8be4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.84
Realized PnL: $414.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.35
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.16
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $379.39

Nuggets position

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.13

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Senators

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Devils position

Wild vs. Devils

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Predators position

Predators vs. Hurricanes

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

FDA approves PharmaTher Holdings’ Ketamine?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Rams position

Cardinals vs. Rams

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Tigers position

Athletics vs. Tigers

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Buccaneers position

Panthers vs. Buccaneers

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Chargers position

Chargers vs. Raiders

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Panthers position

Sabres vs. Panthers

Ends Apr 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Warriors position

Grizzlies vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm

Arthur Rinderknech 81% 1.95 shares
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro

Emma Navarro 81% 2.16 shares
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

Yes 85% 2.05 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 84% 2.3 shares
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

BetBoom Team 97.5% 1.53 shares
Kosice: Lukas Pokorny vs Martin Krumich

Martin Krumich 80% 2.16 shares
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 20?

Up 89% 1.66 shares
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 13?

Down 83% 2.02 shares
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

No 74% 2.35 shares
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Yes 52% 2.01 shares
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Yes 87% 2.01 shares
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Yes 89.6% 1.77 shares