No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $48.43K
- Potential payout
- $48.55K
- Potential profit
- $121.38
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Polymarket Trader
pmwinner
0x72f13795baf0bfc6714c3566fdf03ff95611595e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $144.21K
- Realized PnL
- $15.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $45.21K
- Potential payout
- $45.44K
- Potential profit
- $227.19
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $19.51K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $490
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.49K
- Potential payout
- $9.55K
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- User PnL
- $214.72
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.16K
- Potential payout
- $9.21K
- Potential profit
- $50.64
- User PnL
- $228.43
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7K
- Potential payout
- $7.02K
- Potential profit
- $24.59
- User PnL
- $67.69
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.41K
- Potential payout
- $5.42K
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- User PnL
- $176.11
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $444.89
- Potential profit
- $444.89
- User PnL
- -$2.18
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.51
- Potential profit
- $126.51
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $99.98
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.06
- Potential profit
- $35.06
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.33
- Potential profit
- $20.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.13
- Potential profit
- $20.13
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.96
- Potential profit
- $15.96
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Hanne Vandewinkel position
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Houston Astros position
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $6.79K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.57
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.16
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.54
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.98
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.67
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.62
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184.85
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.12
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.26
Yes position
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.67
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.77
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.46
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120.2
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.39
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.3
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95% 3,670.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 99.8% 15,102 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No 97.6% 47.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 2.7% 4,361.7 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 97% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 97.2% 5,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 96.8% 2,064.37 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99% 3,991.54 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.3% 1,004.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 96% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 96.6% 501.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 96.6% 4,780.51 shares