Polymarket Trader

g941ax6g1xpk

0x72f7210bc212e2c77da05cef3c925353efad4345

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.51K
Realized PnL: $4.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $712.17
Potential payout: $852.9
Potential profit: $140.73
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $162.17

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $524.55
Potential payout: $760.32
Potential profit: $235.78
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $57.24

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $722
Potential payout: $730.03
Potential profit: $8.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $172.01

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $690.12
Potential payout: $720
Potential profit: $29.88
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $157.32

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $503.42
Potential payout: $506.2
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: $115.46

No position

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $382.9
Potential payout: $458.56
Potential profit: $75.66
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$7.52

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $345.85
Potential payout: $351.29
Potential profit: $5.44
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $39.98

No position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $239.26
Potential payout: $300.95
Potential profit: $61.7
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $233.15
Potential payout: $284.33
Potential profit: $51.18
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $13.38

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $89.32
Potential payout: $173.44
Potential profit: $84.12
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $14.74

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $162.49
Potential profit: $161.6
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$13.69

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $106.33
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$18.85

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $86.76
Potential profit: $84.24
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$15.98

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $58.35
Potential payout: $59.51
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $572.85

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.14

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.08

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.13

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.94

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.18

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.25

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.16

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.89

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.19

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.67

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.71

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.9

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $94.17

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.34

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.26

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.67

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.04

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.17

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.94

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.86

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.73

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 1.71 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 7.93 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 7.93 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 5.11 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 7.93 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 8.79 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 12.25 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 1.75 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 1.75 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 1.75 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 1.75 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 12.44 shares