Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $81.25
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.42K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Polymarket Trader
crypto-basenji
@cryptobasenji
0x72f7b4aa5acaff9629917cf4ec34620a41c492f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.56K
- Realized PnL
- $28.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.35K
- Potential payout
- $9.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.13K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $8.74K
- Potential payout
- $8.87K
- Potential profit
- $128.57
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $7.21K
- Potential payout
- $8.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.1K
Yes position
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $33.29
- Potential payout
- $5.12K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $3.41K
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $753.72
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Iraq position
Spread: Norway (-2.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$2.01K
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $11.74
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$48.25
Croatia position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $60.07
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $206.07
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- $65.9
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $141.91
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$33.69
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $93.44
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$384.36
Yes position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $40.64
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $17.44
Yes position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $27.25
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$9.25
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $8.26
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$230.51
Yes position
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.33
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $120
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $306
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $616
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $504
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$22.4
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $12.78
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.89
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $915
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$34.8
Yes position
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $104.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $895.49
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$52.5
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $81.35
- Potential payout
- $908.92
- Potential profit
- $827.57
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- -$105.12
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $156
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $643.99
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$122
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987.78
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.09
Yes position
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $741.81
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $600.16
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $584.67
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $537.65
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.68
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.99
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.85
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.66
Yes position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $329.85
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $301.4
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 73% 2,088.07 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 26% 10 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Yes 14% 238.16 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes 2.7% 1,204.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84.7% 4,199.96 shares
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo 59% 26 shares
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo 62% 26 shares
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo 61.6% 24.23 shares
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo 66.7% 414.17 shares
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo 72% 7 shares
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo 72% 8 shares
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo 55% 5 shares