Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $231.41
- Potential payout
- $9.26K
- Potential profit
- $9.03K
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- $74.05
Polymarket Trader
misc1444
0x73108aead1c27a56c8746f28162091da543b1134
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $231.41
- Realized PnL
- $81.67
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.62
- Potential profit
- $252.62
- User PnL
- -$58.48
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.83
- Potential profit
- $85.83
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$31.5
Yes position
Will a Democrat win South Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.2
- Potential profit
- $67.2
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $60.98
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.24
- Potential profit
- $29.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.99
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.59
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.51
Yes position
Will Kamala say "Artificial Intelligence" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.26
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.68
No position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Illinois Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Connecticut Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Israel" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kamala say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "rig" or "rigged" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "IVF" or "In vitro" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will JD Vance say "Trump" 30 or more times during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Trans" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.31
Girl position
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Will Kamala say "wall" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 46.3% 30 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 48% 147.05 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.7% 9,256.47 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes 19% 526.32 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes 11.7% 85.83 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 41% 60.98 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 34% 147.06 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?Down 10% 200 shares
- Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes 10% 300 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 30.2% 132.45 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 45.5% 142.86 shares
- Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes 26% 96.15 shares