Polymarket Trader

gambler13

0x73192b9597c4496f8c338b36239bdf4218ac0299

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.62K
Realized PnL: $17.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $3.04K
Potential payout: $21.71K
Potential profit: $18.67K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $38.55

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $2.99K
User PnL: -$73.27

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $14.31
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.23K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.95

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $106.32
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $59.07

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $377.03
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $765.48
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $170.15

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $26.99
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$7.45

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $26.02
Potential payout: $642.45
Potential profit: $616.43
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$11.11

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395.31
Potential profit: $395.31
User PnL: -$14.78

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.7
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $133.31
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.67
Potential profit: $57.67
User PnL: -$1.68

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $21.79
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $18.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.8
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 59.8%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$0.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.39K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.52K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.56

Yes position

Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $610.11

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.52

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $468.34

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $368.88

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.8

No position

Will Russia win Intervision 2025?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.09

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $275.85

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.11

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.81

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $197.61

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.7%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $191.55

Yes position

NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $183.07

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.84

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.15

No position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.41

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $131.13

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $121.02

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 39.4% 14.22 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 45.1% 120.83 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Yes 1.6% 30 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Yes 7% 385.88 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Yes 4.1% 746.36 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 33.6% 331.57 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Yes 4% 256.57 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 19% 216.1 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 18% 1,803.27 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Yes 8% 3,117 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Yes 14.9% 1,020.57 shares