Polymarket Trader

acrazynig420

0x731b21c96c75f15e9236b40a678f189da84183a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $203.88
Realized PnL: $743.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $298.33
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $215.71
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.05
Potential profit: $126.05
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.01
Potential profit: $125.01
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $87
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $19.41
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $98.24
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $19.47
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $85.79
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.1
Potential profit: $83.1
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $73.53
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $4.57
Potential payout: $45.05
Potential profit: $40.47
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $30.86
Potential profit: $26.5
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $23.71
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$5.14

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $26.74
Potential profit: $21.48
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.1%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $6.46
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.96
Potential profit: $3.96
User PnL: -$1.44

NRG position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84
Potential profit: $1.84
User PnL: -$0.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.82

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.43

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.76

Nikola Bartunkova position

Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.42

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.69

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Down 44% 7.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Down 67% 7.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 77% 11.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 42% 11.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 5.4% 44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Up 89.7% 9.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Up 51% 9.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 20.1% 49.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Down 77% 9.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Down 51% 9.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Down 47% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Down 48% 20.83 shares