0x733275cC91c6ff57c7Aa8c02340a03D487fa9828-1781160914627

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $504
Potential profit: $504
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.51
Potential profit: $272.51
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.56
Potential profit: $181.56
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.6
Potential profit: $103.6
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $10.7
Potential payout: $72.28
Potential profit: $61.58
Multiplier: 6.76x
User PnL: $9.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 28.1%
Current value: $8.79
Potential payout: $31.29
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 3.56x
User PnL: $7.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $8.55
Potential profit: $6.54
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.32
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $1.12
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 71.7%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?