No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.23K
- Potential profit
- $240.23K
- User PnL
- -$240.23
Polymarket Trader
black-dog
0x733616752a8a7b0c501d4e9d4e29703f7ee51f7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.81K
- Realized PnL
- $10.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $3.66K
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $318.37
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $80.42
No position
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $790.37
- Potential payout
- $820.31
- Potential profit
- $29.94
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $525.05
- Potential payout
- $568.24
- Potential profit
- $43.19
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $429.56
- Potential payout
- $451.21
- Potential profit
- $21.66
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $50.21
Yes position
Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $400.24
- Potential payout
- $403.47
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- $28.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Thunder
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Yes position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. 49ers
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Tiafoe position
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Frances Tiafoe
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $970.37
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $935.33
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.88
Trail Blazers position
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.3
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.16
Pistons position
Knicks vs. Pistons
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.04
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.93
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.14
Kraken position
Predators vs. Kraken
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.02
Michelsen position
Brisbane International: James Duckworth vs Alex Michelsen
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.93
San Francisco Dons position
San Diego Toreros vs. San Francisco Dons
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.29
Rockets position
Suns vs. Rockets
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.81
SMU Mustangs position
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.74
Fresno State Bulldogs position
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Jose State Spartans
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.64
Yes position
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.39
No position
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.1
Clippers position
Jazz vs. Clippers
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.37
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.19
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.02
Lakers position
Grizzlies vs. Lakers
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 92% 201.12 shares
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 92% 227 shares
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 92% 217 shares
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 92% 192 shares
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 90.2% 1,589.53 shares
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 95.6% 259.2 shares
- GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 96% 104.28 shares
- GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 96% 198.44 shares
- GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 95.9% 54.54 shares
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 95% 10 shares
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 94% 10.03 shares
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 95% 30 shares