Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $31.45
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Polymarket Trader
0x73471F333a4E35f4155C174b85ba265c4CC4Fd8c-1773263827680
0x73471f333a4e35f4155c174b85ba265c4cc4fd8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.68
- Realized PnL
- $264.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $9.23
- Potential payout
- $9.92
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.14
No position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.95
Yes position
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 50% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETDown 50% 19.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETDown 46% 9.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?No 96.3% 340 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?No 24% 140 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?No 37% 200 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?No 34% 0.48 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?No 37% 80 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?No 36% 189 shares
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?No 90% 30.09 shares
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?No 20% 10 shares
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?No 20% 10 shares