Polymarket Trader

mtm6

0x734b24456543c5832001590cf9a397ee71eb2a2c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $157.58
Realized PnL: $2.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $49.94
Potential payout: $369.91
Potential profit: $319.98
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$146.12

No position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $33.09
Potential payout: $50.13
Potential profit: $17.04
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.5
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of June 8 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Megaquake by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $22.49
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.7
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?

Ends Nov 13, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.45
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.1
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$7.3

Yes position

Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will France concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.59

No position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $13.79
Potential payout: $16.72
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.25

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.95

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.95

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.05

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.66

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.69

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.45

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.74

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.72

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.21

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.04

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.03

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.91

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.51

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.12

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.54

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.71

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.16

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.07

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.35

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.45

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Loose Ball" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

No 52% 20 shares
Will the announcers say "History" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

No 13% 7.69 shares
Will the announcers say "History" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

No 16% 6.25 shares
City Protocol FDV above $20M one day after launch?

No 2% 6 shares
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 23% 20 shares
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?

Yes 6% 20 shares
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?

Yes 14% 12.08 shares
Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 14% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 17?

Yes 27% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 17?

No 69% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 17?

Yes 21% 11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?

Yes 20% 20 shares