No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Nicgar
@Chris_tam_
0x734c9351bdb7e4ae00a449fe62a06c61b5971d86
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $690.11
- Realized PnL
- $1.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $86.62
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$24.89
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $938.85
- Potential profit
- $915.85
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $37.78
- Potential payout
- $634.94
- Potential profit
- $597.16
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$12.22
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $60.31
- Potential payout
- $446.72
- Potential profit
- $386.41
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$45.16
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $10.8
- Potential payout
- $360.05
- Potential profit
- $349.25
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$59.48
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $69.43
- Potential payout
- $356.03
- Potential profit
- $286.61
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $53.81
- Potential payout
- $327.11
- Potential profit
- $273.3
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- $23.81
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $189.61
- Potential payout
- $229.84
- Potential profit
- $40.22
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $129.61
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.72
- Potential profit
- $214.72
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.27
- Potential profit
- $208.27
- User PnL
- -$41.55
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $25.71
- Potential payout
- $190.48
- Potential profit
- $164.76
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$14.29
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $15.83
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $150.83
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $11.53
- Potential payout
- $153.78
- Potential profit
- $142.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.46
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $18.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $106.88
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $13.67
- Potential payout
- $113.9
- Potential profit
- $100.23
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.33
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $40.56
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $70.56
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $20.56
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $78.67
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $15.94
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $46.56
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $10.94
No position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $46.25
- Potential profit
- $40.26
- Multiplier
- 7.72x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.12
- Potential profit
- $44.12
- User PnL
- -$26.03
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $6.72
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $27.76
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.56
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.4
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.66
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.07
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.74
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.25
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.71
Yes position
Will Google dip to $275 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $68.95
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.3
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.37
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $260?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.92
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.59
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $23.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
Yes position
Will Meta reach $660 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.11
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $6.56
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $3.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes 16.2% 72.63 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.2% 322.58 shares
- US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes 15.4% 65.04 shares
- US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 43% 52.3 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes 7% 625 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 39% 98.72 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.3% 252.63 shares
- Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.1% 312.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 44.12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46.4% 35.71 shares